Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 10.625319 11.888578 13.278262 14.926699 16.836742 18.989828 21.613982
2025-11-09 8.735628 10.349174 12.256333 14.698636 17.774611 21.562458 26.646251
2025-11-16 7.647569 9.409630 11.595026 14.544904 18.485296 23.659159 31.123717
2025-11-23 6.778636 8.586407 10.913669 14.188233 18.774294 25.121945 34.855310
2025-11-30 6.198444 8.050361 10.512807 14.106583 19.357382 26.982848 39.358708
2025-12-07 5.572566 7.381958 9.850521 13.560846 19.172612 27.653720 42.095711
2025-12-14 5.006582 6.742078 9.161244 12.888824 18.695635 27.779647 43.916693
2025-12-21 4.635246 6.343505 8.775699 12.617225 18.781990 28.771080 47.310416
2025-12-28 4.707559 6.584577 9.335198 13.830067 21.348121 34.151244 59.463756
2026-01-04 4.538270 6.451725 9.316905 14.121190 22.415992 37.100231 67.629791
2026-01-11 4.236054 6.095158 8.924118 13.760502 22.314588 37.916093 71.654235
2026-01-18 4.121702 6.018577 8.962510 14.117440 23.513496 41.308091 81.782295
2026-01-25 3.891529 5.753670 8.692522 13.945190 23.771912 43.006071 88.769605
2026-02-01 3.671720 5.491920 8.409864 13.726760 23.922486 44.520905 95.732287
2026-02-08 3.487152 5.274624 8.183948 13.586097 24.200896 46.334128 103.868604
2026-02-15 3.285775 5.017225 7.871824 13.258238 24.066007 47.227896 109.847585
2026-02-22 3.144153 4.850594 7.703705 13.183172 24.435342 49.300220 119.589180
2026-03-01 2.944369 4.574960 7.328035 12.681198 23.855236 49.092595 122.770041
2026-03-08 2.740920 4.283291 6.907934 12.062513 22.965550 48.033573 123.187129
2026-03-15 2.608355 4.107042 6.683959 11.812292 22.853502 48.855240 129.678517
2026-03-22 2.683645 4.294631 7.127255 12.928879 25.913776 58.166288 166.997324
2026-03-29 2.633494 4.257658 7.154169 13.196602 27.063738 62.733249 189.930091
2026-04-05 2.507503 4.078704 6.904541 12.864889 26.752505 63.245547 197.917407